When Nuclear War is All We Have Left

by Martin Armstrong,Armstrong Economics:

QUESTION:Do you think the blockade will be effective in bringing Iran to collapse? You also said that Iran is winning. Could you explain that?

ANSWER:Regardless of how you might feel about the Iran war, as I previously stated, when I was called in to give me a briefing on Russia, I was told that we wouldNOTbe at war with Russia – it would be with China. As they say, you only know who your friends are in times of trouble. This war has revealed that our supposed allies are really enemies waiting for the opportunity to stab this upstart colony called America in the back. In reality, they were always enemies, jealous that they lost their power to this fledgling upstart. The United States has only been feared – not admired.

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Everyone has an opinion. That does not make one right and another wrong. Opinion requires experience – not second-guessing. To think for one minute that this blockade will force Iran to collapse and yield to everything demanded by the Trump administration is rather naive. It is a desperate effort on the Trump Administration because they know that they cannot bomb Iran to end the Persian Civilization. What nobody seems to address is the one major point of Iran – a US guarantee that Iran willNOTbe attacked again by the rogue Netanyahu. That is something Trump cannot deliver for Netanyahu, who is also up for election, and he, too, needs a victory. As mentioned, there have been open discussions in Israel about nuking the granite tunnels the Iranians have dug because no bunker-buster bomb can possibly destroy their nuclear program.

Then there is what is being presented as absurd, that Iran wants a toll to pass through the Strait of Hormuz. Every other seaway that is a chokepoint, ships must pay a toll from the manmade Panama Canal and the Suez Canal, and between Canada & USA in the Saint Lawrence Seaway. TheTurkish Straitsare a unique legal exception to the principle of free passage throughnatural waterways. Comprising the Bosphorus and Dardanelles straits, they form a critical maritime chokepoint connecting the Black Sea to the Mediterranean. Under the 1936 Montreux Convention, Türkiye has the authority to regulate transits and collect fees, which are legally defined as“navigation service costs”rather than tolls on the passage itself. Iran can do the same and not call it a “toll” but“navigation service costs.”