I have spent a fair amount of time recentlydiscussing the Florida State Seminolesand, more specifically, just how grim things are looking in Tallahassee right now.
You could argue part of that is because I am a fan of a rival team, but I do think even to the objective, unbiased viewer, the outlook isn't exactly rosy for Noles fans in 2026.
One of those "objective, unbiased viewers" is none other than Josh Pate, and he discussed the murky future for the Seminoles on the latest episode ofJosh Pate's College Football Show.
"I think they've got to improve to be mediocre right now," Pate said.
"Everyone hates on average. Average is not the worst thing in the world, bad is the worst thing in the world."
Pate went on to discuss the mirage of Florida State's Vegas win total, stating that while 6.5 wins looks like an improvement on the surface, when given a different, more difficult schedule, it paints a different picture and knocks the Noles down two full projected wins.
"If we changed nothing about Florida State's team, but we give them Florida's schedule this year," Pate said, "their over/under win total would be 4.5… which would be second-lowest in the SEC behind only Arkansas."
So why does Florida State have so far to climb still?
As I had often opined in the past, Pate agrees that FSU's aggressive overreliance on the transfer portal following striking (fool's) gold in 2022 and 2023 may have doomed the rest of Norvell's tenure in the state's capitol.
For everyonewho points to guys like Curt Cigniettiand, to a lesser extent, Lane Kiffin, as shining examples of how to build a championship roster through the transfer portal, Mike Norvell is the example on the other end of the spectrum.
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