Rate-Hike Odds Rise As US Services Surveys Disappoint: Growth Strong But Inflation Stronger

Following the mixed (but strong) Manufacturing survey data for October (ISM up, S&P down), the Services sector survey data this morning more unequivocal.

The US Composite PMI remained comfortably above the critical 50.0 no-change mark in October to signal another month of private sector output growth - and remains the strongest globally. However, amid weaker gains in both manufacturing production and service sector activity, the index fell to 55.9, from 58.4 in September – the lowest in three months...

“The October PMI surveys mark a strong start to the fourth quarter for the US economy, indicative of GDP rising at an annualised rate of over 4%," according to Chris Williamson, Chief Business Economist at S&P Global Market Intelligence 

The star of the upturn remains the tech sector, but encouragingly solid supporting performances are also being seen in consumer-facing sectors and financial services

However, Williamson warns "the good news on growth is tainted by yet another worrying inten