Skynet, Spies, And Your Vote Doesn't Count: The 10 Biggest Red Flags In Anthropic's IPO Filing

When Anthropic's S-1 went public on Oct 26, the headline number was a $974 million operating profit on $11.6 billion of second-quarter revenue. It also came with what we tallied as roughly $800 billion in compute commitments, including up to $120.5 billion owed to Elon Musk's SpaceXAI.

Monday's amendment filled in the blanks, and it's not looking any better. Third-quarter revenue came in at $16.96 billion, up 1,127% from a year earlier. But operating profit lasted exactly one quarter, with Q3 swinging back to a $567 million GAAP operating loss as Anthropic paid up for $5 billion of short-term compute. Its committed spend is now officially $895.4 billion - more than $1 trillion once deals without a fixed dollar figure are counted - and $69.8 billion of it comes due in the next 12 months, more than the company's entire annualized revenue run rate.

Meanwhile, this thing is risk city according to their own filing. 

Ten Risk Factors Worth Reading

Financials make up only half of the prospectus. The other half consists of 94 pages of risk factors we discussed last week. Most of it is boilerplate - the stock may be volatile, analysts might not cover it, and no public market has previously existed