The2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Amis when the PGA TOUR officially stops easing into the season and starts acting like itself. It’s the first signature event of the year. This is a no-cut event featuring the 80 best players on TOUR, with a $20 million prize pool, and the winner will collect $3.6 million.
There is still a Pro-Am until the weekend, but the first two rounds of the AT&T are split between the world-famous Pebble Beach Golf Links and Spyglass Hill, before the tournament finishes at Pebble Beach Saturday and Sunday. They are both short, Par-72, links-style courses with coastal winds and difficult Poa greens.
Last week, two of my top-20 bets cashed, but lost-1.82 units (u), bringing my 2026 PGA TOUR bankroll down to-6.39u. I'm running it back with the same betting strategy for the AT&T: Bet enough to profit 20u and my five outright picks, while backing them up withPlacement Bets with Ties(Top-10 and 20). Here is mystarting 5for Pebble Beach this week.
The following odds are based on my previous bets on the golfers listed below. Subject to change.
There’s just so much to like about Rose, and the only reason not to bet him is that he won his last tournament, which is counterintuitive. Like, generally, you want to bet guys when they are playing well, and Rose just dummied the field en route to a sweat-free, seven-stroke win at the 2026 Farmers Insurance Open.
Besides recent form, another reason to bet a golfer is "course fit and history." Well, Rose won the 2022 AT&T a year before it became a "signature event," finished T11 in his title defense a year later, and T3 last year. He also finished T3 at the 2021 U.S. Open at Pebble Beach, and he’s gained strokes in five of his seven starts here, including three straight.
Justin Rose celebrates making an eagle on the 18th hole during the final round of the 2023 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am at Pebble Beach Golf Links. (Photo Credit: Kyle Terada-Imagn Images)
The driver is probably the least consistent club, but the driver usage at Pebble Beach is roughly 23% lower than the average PGA TOUR course. It’s a "second shot course," and Rose’s irons have been red-hot since winning the 2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship, the first-round of the FedExCup Playoffs.
He’s gained strokes with his irons in seven of his last seven international starts since the 2025 Genesis Scottish Open, according toDataGolf.com. While it’s unlikely Rose goes back-to-back, he is motivated to solidify his legacy as a golf Hall of Famer. This is a "signature event," and he loves Pebble Beach. So, my "fair odds" for Rose are +2500, and I found a better price at Kalshi.
So, I know I was saying earlier that the driver usage is way lower at Pebble Beach compared to other courses. However, Pebble Beach is part of the U.S. Open rotation, and the U.S. Open is the biggest driving test of any major. Plus, former U.S. Open champions have won the last three AT&Ts:Rory McIlroylast year,Wyndham Clarktwo years ago, and Rose in 2023.
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