Most consequential external security variable may be uncertainty in the US ahead of the midterm elections in November, report warns

In its latest annual forecast of China’s external security risks, the Centre for International Security and Strategy (CISS) at Tsinghua University framed this year as a pivotal moment in the profound reshaping of China’s outer defence environment.

Based on surveys and interviews with dozens of senior experts, the CISS report identified three defining features of the 2026 landscape, including the deepening fusion of economic security with geopolitics.

Beijing lays out its views on world order at Chinese Foreign Minister’s press conference

Regardless of the outcome of the midterm elections in November, the United States’ “technological blockade against China may shift from a ‘transactional shock’ to a ‘systemic containment’,” the report noted.

Source: News - South China Morning Post