Rate-Hike Odds Soar Despite Lowest Core Consumer Price Inflation Since 2021

Following fuel-driven jump in Producer Prices, consensus was for a concomitant jump MoM in Consumer prices this morning, after last month's decline as energy prices have rebounded (though we warned that amid all the interventionist-y chatter, nothing would surprise us less than 'cool' print to offset the PPI scare).

And analysts were right with headline CPI rising 0.4% MoM (exactly as expected) - biggest MoM since May - but prices rose 3.5% YoY (in line with expectations and flat to the prir month)...

Core Services accelerated...

...BUT Fuel prices dominated the rise in headline CPI...

Headline CPI rose 0.4% MoM in August, after rising 0.1% in July. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 3.4%.