Rate-Hike Odds Spike As Fuel Costs Push US Producer Prices Higher

In a relatively unusual turn around, US producer prices hit today ahead of tomorrow's CPI. Interestingly Consumer prices get all the headlines, it is PPI that offers the most read-throughs for Core PCE - The (old) Fed's favorite inflation gauge).

Headline producer pries were expected to rebound significantly from July's flatline as oil prices rebounded on re-escalations in the MidEast, and they printed right in line, up 04.% MoM in August (with July's revised up to +0.1% MoM. That lifted the annual PPI gain to +5.4% YoY (hotter than expected)...

Energy has flipped from deflation to re-inflation...

PPI final demand good rose 1.1% MoM, the most since May, while PPI final demand services rose 0.1%, the lowest since May.

Here are the details behind the breakdown:

Final demand goods: The index for final demand goods advanced 1.1% in August following two consecutive decreases.

Product detail: Over a third of the August increase in the index for final demand goods can be traced to prices for diesel fuel, which jumped 24.1%. The indexes for gasoline, jet fuel,