Brazilian socialist President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva's lead over right-wing Sen. Flávio Bolsonaro continues to narrow, according to new polling data released early Wednesday. The latest polling extends the trend we highlighted last week, showing that the narrowing margin between the two candidates has transformed October’s presidential election a coin toss.
Lula (Left); Bolsonaro (Right)According to a Quaest poll commissioned by TV Globo, Lula leads Bolsonaro 42% to 41% in a potential runoff. The one-point gap is within the survey’s two-point margin of error and marks a decline from Lula’s three-point advantage in the previous poll released in mid-August.
Quaest, 2º turno: Lula, 42%; Flávio Bolsonaro, 41% https://t.co/CVLptTwmiq #g1 pic.twitter.com/oSBLd27Big
— g1 (@g1) September 2, 2026
Pesquisa Quaest divulgada hoje vs 2022 mesma janela temporal
— Pedro Albuquerque F (@albuquerque_af) September 2, 2026
Lula vs Bolsonaro 1º e 2º turno
No 2º turno diferença que era de 12 pontos em 2022 é de apenas 1 ponto em 2026 pic.twitter.com/MfyMW2Ifos
A separate BTG P
