Bloomberg's continuous front-month uranium futures contract (UXA1 Comdty) briefly surged above $100 a pound in late January, driven by tightening supplies, renewed government support for nuclear power, and rising electricity demand from the AI infrastructure boom.
Uranium futures then retreated and remained range-bound between $84 and $87 for five months. But momentum has returned in August, with prices approaching $89 a pound, the highest level since early February.
The ongoing theme is that years of underinvestment have limited mine supply growth despite rising reactor demand. New uranium projects can take a decade to develop, leaving producers unable to respond quickly to higher prices. Output is also concentrated among a handful of miners, such as Cameco.
Goldman analysts have routinely pointed back to these charts, which show that the uranium market has entered a deficit and that the gap will only widen as new reactor demand comes online in the years ahead.
China is firmly leading the global expansion and is expected to become the world's largest nuclear power market by the end of the decade.
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