A short rebound in stocks fizzled after Monday's drop, as worries about the disruptive impact of artificial intelligence continued to unsettle markets which digested yesterday’s AI scare, and await today’s Claude / Anthropic presentation, while preparing for tonight’s State of the Union address (“SOTU”). Some have suggested that Trump may attack power generation risks during SOTU as he deals with affordability.As of 8:00am ET, S&P 500 futures traded unchanged, erasing an earlier 0.3% gain. The benchmark fell 1% in the previous session following a sharp drop in dealer gamma and a report that rehashes well-known fears about AI. Nasdaq 100 contracts climbed 0.1%, as AMD soared 11% on a $100 billion deal with Meta for data-center gear and a minority investment in the chipmaker. Other Mag7 are all mostly higher while an ETF tracking software firms was flat. IBM remained little changed following a 13% tumble. Nvidia Corp. fell 1.2% ahead of its results on Wednesday. Sentiment was also dented after Jamie Dimon said he’s starting to see parallels with the pre-financial crisis era, when a rush to make loans ended disastrously. At midnight, the US's 10% blanket tariff went into effect with Trump threatening to raise to 15%. Bond yields aso reversed an earlier gain and were unchanged while the USD was bid driven by a spike in the USDJPY after Takaichi pushed back on rate hikes. Commodities are seeing a muted move today with Energy up, Metals down, and Ags mixed; oil has closed in a tight range the last 3 sessions and remains in those levels. Today’s macro data focus is weekly ADP, home price indices, regional Fed activity indicators, and Consumer Confidence.
In premarket trading, Mag 7 stocks:are mostly higher (Alphabet +0.1%, Amazon +0.1%, Apple +0.4%, Nvidia -0.7%, Meta -0.4%, Microsoft +0.1%, Tesla -0.5%)
In corporate news, Anthropic is said to be offering some current and former employees the ability to sell shares at a valuation of about $350 billion. Meta and EssilorLuxottica are said to be at odds on pricing for smart glasses as demand surges. Jane Street is being sued for alleged insider trading by the administrator winding up the affairs of Terraform Labs.
After yesterday's market fragility which was sparked by last week's plunge in dealer gamma...
Gamma plunges into the red and today is what you getpic.twitter.com/6WQWs4xUUS
... andreinforced by a hypothetical report whichechoed what we first said in 2024, nervousness abounds, and the market will be tested again when Anthropic holds its livestream at 9:30 a.m when even more volatility is likely. Adding to nerves, Jamie Dimon said he’s starting to see parallels with the pre-financial crisis era, when a rush to make loans ended disastrously.
The so-called AI scare trade has become a dominant theme for stocks, with selling spreading beyond software to hit insurance brokers, private credit and even real estate services. The flight is one of several shifts beneath the surface of a US market that is little changed in 2026 after years of tech-led gains. Traders are also contending with a range of other risks, from trade uncertainty to brewing tensions between the US and Iran. Focus on Tuesday will turn to President Donald Trump’s State of the Union address and consumer data that, in the previous reading, plunged to the lowest level since 2014. Anthropic meanwhile, will give a demo of its AI enterprise agents.
“We are reducing our risk levels by a notch,” wrote Mohit Kumar, chief economist and strategist for Jefferies International. “Ongoing concerns over AI disruption and the possible exposure to private credit and private equity have made investor sentiment fragile. If we do get an escalation in geopolitical risks, markets may face some wobbles.”
For Emmanuel Cau, head of European equity strategy at Barclays Plc, fears about labor-market disruption need to be counterbalanced by the job creation that typically accompanies technological progress. As for software stocks, which have now been mispriced, “it’s very hard to go prove the market wrong on that,” Cau told Bloomberg TV. “What we are trying to do from an equity allocation standpoint is to be exposed to some of these old-economy, more tangible parts of the market.”
The quest for shelter from AI disruption has moved Goldman Sachs Group Inc. to push a new basket of capital-heavy companies, including utilities, miners, some industrial firms and even luxury-good makers. The selection has outperformed a basket of capital-light businesses by 35% since the start of 2025.
Source: ZeroHedge News