XRP is down roughly 62% from its all-time high of $3.66, andat the time of writing it sits at around $1.33, still well below the levels most investors were hoping for just a few months ago. A lot of traders are asking how much XRP could still drop before a real recovery kicks in, and analystEGRAG Cryptohas a fairly specific answer: the token may need to fall all the way to $0.78 before any serious upsurge can begin. That level also happens to be one of the most watched XRP support levels right now, and EGRAG sees it as the foundation for a potential run toward the XRP ATH and well past it.

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In the current cycle, XRP slipped below the EMA back in November 2025. A recovery attempt in early January 2026 pushed the price up to $2.41, and for a moment it looked like the breakout might actually hold. It did not. XRP dropped to a low of $1.15 on February 6 and has only partially recovered since.

EGRAG’s analysis suggests a short-term bounce to around $2.20 is possible from current levels, but he expects another leg down to follow, this time toward $0.78. That level appears on EGRAG’s chart as the “Binance Lowest Wick,” a horizontal support that has held as one of the more significant XRP support and resistance levels across previous market cycles. EGRAG also sees it as the launchpad for a much larger move.

The projected upside from $0.78 is a 1,030% surge to $13, and the historical basis for that XRP price prediction is actually pretty solid. After XRP failed a similar EMA retest in Q4 2018, the token climbed from its lows all the way to $1.96 by April 2021, a move that also measured out to roughly 1,030%. EGRAG believes a similar pattern could play out this time around, with $13 as the next major target after the $0.78 XRP support level gets tested.

The XRP ATH of $3.66 is not the ceiling in this scenario. After reaching $13, EGRAG expects a pullback to around $3.36, a level that lines up with the upper trendline of a symmetrical triangle forming since XRP first started trading. A rebound from there could then carry XRP as high as $200, according to the same analysis.

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How much XRP drops in the near term and whether the $0.78 XRP support level holds when it gets there will likely determine how much of this plays out. The XRP price prediction for $13 and eventually $200 covers a long timeframe, and it all depends on that floor doing its job. Right now, the XRP support and resistance levels at $0.78 and $3.36 are the two numbers that matter most, and a new XRP ATH is a long way away either way.

Source: Watcher Guru