Shake Shack plunged on Tuesday, hitting its lowest levels since November 2023, after the burger chain slashed second-quarter guidance only about a month after issuing it.
Baird analyst David Tarantino said the new outlook is viewed as "incrementally negative" for Shake Shack.
Tarantino noted that management had set an "unusually high bar"for 2Q comparable performance with its previous outlook, implying mid- to high-single-digit comps in May and June after -.6%.
He added that theupdated guidance ranges may be attributed to new CFO Michelle Hook, who started May 11, and said "desire to set a more achievable bar going forward."
The burger chain, which has 445 stores in the U.S., now expects second-quarter revenue of $415 million to $420 million, down from its prior forecast of $424 million to $428 million.
Same-Shack sales growth is now expected to be 2.5% to 3%, down from the earlier 3% to 5% range. Shares sank 11% in the late-morning cash session, extending a nearly yearlong bear-market slide.
Here's a snapshot of the 2Q Forecast:
Sees total revenue $415 million to $420 million, saw $424 million to $428 million, estimate $421.9 million
Sees licensing revenue $13.5 million to $13.7 million
Sees same-Shack sales 2.5% to 3%, saw 3% to 5%
Source: ZeroHedge News