The feared doomsday may no longer be on the horizon, as climate scientists dismiss the most apocalyptic scenario as “implausible.”
The world’s top climate modelers offered an update on thescientificscenarios that are used to explore and predict thefuture evolution of Earth’s climate.
The scientists have now ruled outthe most apocalyptic worst-case scenario, citing trends in renewable energy, emerging climate policy, and recent emissions data. It comes after it emergedStephen Hawking predicted the exact date of the apocalypse..
In 2010, climate scientists predicted that the most catastrophic climate scenario could be a rise of about 4.5 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels by 2100. However, the modelers no longer believe that the feared scenario is likely.
According to astudyin the journal Geoscientific Model Development, the high-emissions scenario predicts 3.5 degrees Celsius of warming by 2100.
The updated climate scenarios were developed by the Scenario Model Intercomparison Project (ScenarioMIP), an international committee comprising 20 scientific experts.
The researchers wrote that the climate scenarios are critical toclimate changeanalysis as different research communities can use the data to “explore potential future avenues of socio-economic conditions, assess the effects of different drivers of climate change, characterize future climatic conditions, and assess impacts of climate change as well as adaptation and mitigation responses.”
The researchers found that the worst-case climate scenario has become “implausible, based on trends in the costs of renewables, the emergence of climate policy and recent emission trends.”
These updated scenarios will offer new insights for the next assessment by the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).
Detlef van Vuuren, a senior researcher at the Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency and lead author of the study, warned that the updated climate scenario is “no reason to celebrate,” as reported byThe Times.
Source: Drudge Report
