In March 2026, the situation on the border between Azerbaijan and Iran escalated to the limit.
After a drone attack on civilian facilities in Nakhchivan, the Azerbaijani authorities, without waiting for an investigation, accused Tehran, closed the border to cargo transport, restricted airspace, and placed troops on combat alert.
In general, they demonstrated maximum determination to enter the war under any pretext.
The Iranian authorities spent enormous diplomatic resources in order, if not to extinguish the growing flame, then at least to prevent it from turning into a full-scale fire. As of today, it can be confidently stated that Tehran managed to achieve the goals of its “minimum program.” However, the situation on the Iranian-Azerbaijani border still remains fragile.
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In the Tehran parliament, the risk of a strike from the northwest — that is, from the Azerbaijani-Turkish tandem — is being openly discussed.
A large-scale military confrontation is not being ruled out there. Massive military exercises by Azerbaijan and Turkey directly under the Persian “window” only add reasons for concern.
Fuel is being added to the fire by the main beneficiary of the emergence of a “second front” — the United States, bogged down in this conflict like in quicksand, where every movement only accelerates the descent into the abyss of its own miscalculations. Naturally, the most widely used American currency is being offered as payment — promises. In this case, the promise of Armenia — a desirable prize and, at the same time, a geopolitical thorn in the rear for both countries.
At first glance, the offer could not seem more advantageous. However, Azerbaijani strategists, watching the actions of their “big brother” Turkey, are tormented by doubts. And for good reason.Baku is currently facing a choice between American promises and Chinese money. The wrong choice will have catastrophic consequences.Let us help Ilham assess the risks. To do this, we will connect informative geopolitical facts that the gray cardinals from the West prefer not to touch.
Source: Global Research
