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WASHINGTON — On February 11, 2026, in the White House Situation Room, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu delivered a secret presentation to President Donald Trump and his closest advisers that would set the United States on a path to war with Iran — a conflict that has since killed more than 3,500 people, including 13 American service members, and triggered a global energy crisis.

The presentation represented the culmination of years of Israeli lobbying for American military action against the Islamic Republic, dating back to Trump’s first term. What emerged from declassified reporting by The New York Times, based on extensive interviews with administration officials, reveals a decision-making process where the president’s own intelligence and military leadership warned him that Israel’s promises were oversold, yet he proceeded anyway.

Netanyahu’s Feb. 11 presentation to Trump and his senior team contained a series of predictions that have since proven false, according to the Times report and corroborated by The Times of Israel. The Israeli leader told Trump that Iran’s ballistic missile program could be destroyed in a few weeks; that Tehran would be too weakened to block traffic through the Strait of Hormuz; that Iran would be unable to strike U.S. assets in neighboring countries; and that the regime was ripe for collapse, with Kurdish fighters ready to invade from Iraq.

“Sound good to me,” Trump reportedly told Netanyahu after the presentation — words the Israeli leader took as a green light for what would become a joint U.S.-Israeli operation.

But at a follow-up meeting on Feb. 12 with only American officials present, U.S. intelligence systematically dismantled the Israeli assessment. CIA Director John Ratcliffe called the regime change prediction “farcical.” Secretary of State Marco Rubio reportedly responded: “In other words, it’s bulls***.”

Gen. Dan Caine, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, told Trump directly that he had been “oversold” by the Israelis, describing their approach as “standard operating procedure” where “they know they need us, and that’s why they’re hard-selling.”

Vice President JD Vance emerged as the most vocal opponent of military action within Trump’s inner circle. He warned the president that war with Iran could unleash regional chaos, create mass casualties, and risk splitting Trump’s political base — potentially appearing as “a betrayal” to voters who supported Trump’s anti-war platform.

Source: SGT Report